Suche
Mein Konto
Cologne 2045: Population is growing, districts are changing dramatically!
Rodenkirchen will grow by 8.6% by 2035. Find out more about Cologne's demographic developments and future forecasts.
Cologne 2045: Population is growing, districts are changing dramatically!
The city of Cologne is changing. According to the latest calculations, the city's population will grow to around 1,100,500 people by 2045. This corresponds to an increase of around 10,000 residents compared to the current figures. This forecast is based on an average assumption for the years 2015 to 2024, which assumes a moderate annual influx belovedinkoeln.com reported.
The demographic forecast also shows that the districts will develop very differently. The Rodenkirchen district in particular is expected to grow by an impressive 8.6 percent by 2035. Such developments go hand in hand with major urban projects such as Parkstadt Süd, which is intended to create space for around 8,500 new residents. In contrast, declines can be expected in districts such as Lindenthal (–2.0%) and Porz (–0.9%), which shows that the spread at district level is enormous.
The demographic change
The age structure of Cologne will also change by 2045. The number of people aged 65 to under 80 will increase by 17.4 percent, while those over 80 could even see an increase of 21.9 percent. The situation is completely different for those under 18: their number could fall by almost 6 percent. These developments suggest that the average age of Cologne's population will rise from 42.5 to 43.7 years stadt-koeln.de supplemented.
The budget structure will also adapt. Single-person households could grow to 52.1 percent by 2045, while the number of households with children is expected to decline by 6.1 percent. Overall, the total number of households in the city will increase from 573,200 in 2024 to 585,200 in 2045.
Construction projects and infrastructure
In order to master the demographic challenges, important decisions need to be made in Cologne, particularly in the areas of construction projects and infrastructure. The city has calculated several scenarios for population development. While the basic variant expects around 1.1 million people by 2045, a strong influx scenario could even mean up to 1,196,800 Cologne residents. In the opposite scenario, a decline in immigration, the population would be around 1,020,000 people, for example destatis.de summarizes.
The challenge is clear: The city of Cologne not only has to take care of the influx, but also the needs of an aging population. While the number of people under 18 is decreasing, the age group of those aged 67 and over will increase significantly. This not only brings with it a change in housing needs, but also requires innovative concepts in care and provision.
Cologne remains a growing city, but the path there will be characterized by a variety of challenges. All Cologne residents are called upon to actively participate in this process and to make their contribution to future urban design.